Match details. 1. Liga, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Banik Ostrava have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L L. FC Prague Raptors have won four, drawn none and lost five of their last nine league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Banik Ostrava score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Banik Ostrava average 2.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game. FC Prague Raptors score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Prague Raptors average 8.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. Banik Ostrava's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. FC Prague Raptors to win. An open game. FC Prague Raptors are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Prague Raptors. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Banik Ostrava 1-2 FC Prague Raptors (8% chance).
The agreed story. FC Prague Raptors or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).