Match details. Divize B, Group B - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 10:15 Lagos time.
Form. SK Steti have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W D D. Brandys Nad Labem have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. SK Steti score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SK Steti average 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Brandys Nad Labem score two and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Brandys Nad Labem average 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings SK Steti have won three, drawn none and lost two. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, SK Steti won three and Brandys Nad Labem won one. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2024, it finished SK Steti 0-2 Brandys Nad Labem.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make SK Steti the likelier winners, but Brandys Nad Labem are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SK Steti.
The case against. Brandys Nad Labem's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. SK Steti or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make SK Steti the likelier winners; Brandys Nad Labem are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SK Steti. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SK Steti 2-1 Brandys Nad Labem (9% chance).
The agreed story. SK Steti or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).