NZNAN

07:30Sat 7 Nov

FOS

Nantong Zhiyun vs Foshan Nanshi FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. China League 1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 07:30 Lagos time.

Form. Nantong Zhiyun have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W W W. Foshan Nanshi FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L W.

The numbers. Nantong Zhiyun score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Nantong Zhiyun average 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Foshan Nanshi FC score 0.8 and concede four a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Foshan Nanshi FC average 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The read. Nantong Zhiyun to win. Their goals for and against make Nantong Zhiyun the likelier winners; Nantong Zhiyun are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nantong Zhiyun.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Nantong Zhiyun 2-0 Foshan Nanshi FC (11% chance).

The agreed story. Nantong Zhiyun or the draw, goals in between.

The league run. Nantong Zhiyun: one defeat in their last five league games (L W W W W). Foshan Nanshi FC: lost their last two league games (L L L L W). Not confident in Nantong Zhiyun: a defeat in their last five league games to a side outside the top third.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Nantong Zhiyun to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

NAN 3 of 5 (60%) · FOS 4 of 5 (80%)52.8%

Nantong Zhiyun won 3 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

1X2 - 2UP: Nantong ZhiyunLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.14

NAN 3 of 5 (60%) · FOS 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%

Nantong Zhiyun scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 5 away · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAN 5 of 5 (100%) · FOS 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%

Nantong Zhiyun: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

NAN 5 of 5 (100%) · FOS 1 of 5 (20%)74.1%

Nantong Zhiyun: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC: under 4.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

NAN 2 of 5 (40%) · FOS 5 of 5 (100%)53.5%

Nantong Zhiyun: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

NANTONG ZHIYUN GOALS

Nantong Zhiyun Under 3.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 60%

1.67

NAN 5 of 5 (100%) · FOS 2 of 5 (40%)87.3%

Nantong Zhiyun scored under 3.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC conceded under 3.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

Nantong Zhiyun Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAN 4 of 5 (80%) · FOS 5 of 5 (100%)85.2%

Nantong Zhiyun scored in 4 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

FOSHAN NANSHI FC GOALS

Foshan Nanshi FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

FOS 4 of 5 (80%) · NAN 5 of 5 (100%)80.2%

Foshan Nanshi FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Nantong Zhiyun conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

NAN 5 of 5 (100%) · FOS 4 of 5 (80%)90%

Nantong Zhiyun: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NAN 2 of 5 (40%) · FOS 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Nantong Zhiyun: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 45%

2.20

NAN 5 of 5 (100%) · FOS 2 of 5 (40%)69%

Nantong Zhiyun: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Foshan Nanshi FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Nantong Zhiyun: only games against sides at Foshan Nanshi FC's level · Foshan Nanshi FC: only games against sides at Nantong Zhiyun's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 11.3%

Nantong Zhiyun goals →

Foshan Nanshi FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

NANTONG ZHIYUNLWWWWWLWDL1.90 PPG

FOSHAN NANSHI FCLLLLWDLDLL0.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NANTONG ZHIYUN HOMExFOSHAN NANSHI FC AWAY

1.28SCORED A GAME1.000.72CONCEDED A GAME2.3430%BOTH SCORED60%50%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.59CORNERS A GAME4.142.21CARDS A GAME1.86

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.88POINTS A GAME0.35+0.76GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.76+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.92.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.617LEAGUE GAMES17

Nantong Zhiyun: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

NANTONG ZHIYUN 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 85/90

NANTONG ZHIYUN OR DRAW

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

FOSHAN NANSHI FC OR DRAW

20%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (17 and 17 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NANTONG ZHIYUNxFOSHAN NANSHI FC

7GAMES92.00SCORED A GAME0.890.57CONCEDED A GAME3.112.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.057%OVER 1.5 GOALS89%29%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%43%BOTH SCORE67%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Nantong Zhiyun have scored in 80% of their games.

Foshan Nanshi FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Nantong Zhiyun kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Foshan Nanshi FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards