Al-Masry vs Misr Lel Makkasa

Match details. Egypt Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Al-Masry have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. Misr Lel Makkasa have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. Al-Masry score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al-Masry average 14.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Misr Lel Makkasa score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Masry have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Al-Masry won two, one was drawn and Misr Lel Makkasa won one. The last time they met, on 26 Jun 2022, it finished Al-Masry 2-0 Misr Lel Makkasa.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Al-Masry are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Al-Masry are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al-Masry. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Al-Masry 1-1 Misr Lel Makkasa (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Al-Masry the favourite), a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.