HKHAP

09:30Fri 6 Nov

BAQ

Hapoel Karmiel FC vs Baqa Al-Gharbiyye

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Alef. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 09:30 Lagos time.

Form. Hapoel Karmiel FC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. Baqa Al-Gharbiyye have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.

The numbers. Hapoel Karmiel FC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Hapoel Karmiel FC average 4.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Baqa Al-Gharbiyye score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Baqa Al-Gharbiyye average 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 24% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Hapoel Karmiel FC 1-1 Baqa Al-Gharbiyye (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Hapoel Karmiel FC the favourite), goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Hapoel Karmiel FC or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 91%

1.10

HAP 8 of 9 (89%) · BAQ 4 of 6 (67%)62%

Hapoel Karmiel FC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

HAP 8 of 9 (89%) · BAQ 5 of 6 (83%)86.9%

Hapoel Karmiel FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 89% · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

HAP 7 of 9 (78%) · BAQ 4 of 6 (67%)57%

Hapoel Karmiel FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 57%

1.75

HAP 6 of 9 (67%) · BAQ 4 of 6 (67%)36.1%

Hapoel Karmiel FC: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

HAPOEL KARMIEL FC GOALS

Hapoel Karmiel FC Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 90%

1.11

HAP 8 of 9 (89%) · BAQ 4 of 6 (67%)59.1%

Hapoel Karmiel FC scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

BAQA AL-GHARBIYYE GOALS

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

BAQ 4 of 6 (67%) · HAP 6 of 9 (67%)51.4%

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye scored in 4 of 6 away · Hapoel Karmiel FC conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 81%

1.24

BAQ 4 of 6 (67%) · HAP 8 of 9 (89%)48.8%

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · Hapoel Karmiel FC conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Baqa Al-Gharbiyye: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Baqa Al-Gharbiyye's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Hapoel Karmiel FC goals →

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

HAPOEL KARMIEL FCWWDDDWDDLW1.70 PPG

BAQA AL-GHARBIYYELDDLDWLLWL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HAPOEL KARMIEL FC HOMExBAQA AL-GHARBIYYE AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.00CORNERS A GAME1.001.00CARDS A GAME1.00

TRENDS

Hapoel Karmiel FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye have scored in 60% of their games.

Hapoel Karmiel FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Baqa Al-Gharbiyye kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards