Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Imam Khomeini, Arak.
Form. Aluminium Arak have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Mes Shahr-e Babak have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Aluminium Arak score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Aluminium Arak average 0.1 cards a game. Mes Shahr-e Babak score 0.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Mes Shahr-e Babak average 0.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 28%.
The read. No firm call: Aluminium Arak are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Aluminium Arak the likelier winners; Aluminium Arak are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aluminium Arak 1-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Aluminium Arak or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALU 4 of 5 (80%) · MES 10 of 10 (100%)91.2%
Aluminium Arak: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALU 5 of 5 (100%) · MES 10 of 10 (100%)96.1%
Aluminium Arak: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALU 5 of 5 (100%) · MES 10 of 10 (100%)90.3%
Aluminium Arak: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
ALU 2 of 5 (40%) · MES 9 of 10 (90%)88%
Aluminium Arak: over 0.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALU 4 of 5 (80%) · MES 8 of 10 (80%)79.4%
Aluminium Arak: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
ALU 4 of 5 (80%) · MES 5 of 10 (50%)56.8%
Aluminium Arak: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
ALUMINIUM ARAK GOALS
Aluminium Arak Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALU 2 of 5 (40%) · MES 9 of 10 (90%)79.5%
Aluminium Arak scored in 2 of 5 at home · Mes Shahr-e Babak conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Aluminium Arak: only games against sides at Mes Shahr-e Babak's level · Mes Shahr-e Babak: only games against sides at Aluminium Arak's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.3%
Aluminium Arak goals →
Mes Shahr-e Babak goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALUMINIUM ARAKLDLLDDWDWD1.10 PPG
MES SHAHR-E BABAKLLLLDLDDDD0.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALUMINIUM ARAK HOMExMES SHAHR-E BABAK AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME0.640.82CONCEDED A GAME2.0040%CLEAN SHEETS10%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.000.14CARDS A GAME0.22
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.09POINTS A GAME0.45+0.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.36–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.211LEAGUE GAMES11
Aluminium Arak: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ALUMINIUM ARAK OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
MES SHAHR-E BABAK OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALUMINIUM ARAKxMES SHAHR-E BABAK
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.600.60CONCEDED A GAME2.401.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Aluminium Arak have scored in 60% of their games.
Mes Shahr-e Babak have scored in 70% of their games.
Aluminium Arak kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Mes Shahr-e Babak kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards