Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Fri 13 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cerro Largo FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. CA Progreso have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L.
The numbers. Cerro Largo FC score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cerro Largo FC average 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CA Progreso score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CA Progreso average 4.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Cerro Largo FC the likelier winners, but CA Progreso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Progreso.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 75% on the records (Cerro Largo FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; CA Progreso: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Cerro Largo FC 1-1 CA Progreso (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CER 8 of 8 (100%) · CAP 5 of 5 (100%)95.5%
Cerro Largo FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Progreso: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at CA Progreso's level · CA Progreso: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CER 7 of 8 (88%) · CAP 5 of 5 (100%)91.5%
Cerro Largo FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Progreso: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at CA Progreso's level · CA Progreso: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CER 8 of 8 (100%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)88.5%
Cerro Largo FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Progreso: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at CA Progreso's level · CA Progreso: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.25
CER 7 of 8 (88%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)74.7%
Cerro Largo FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Progreso: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at CA Progreso's level · CA Progreso: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.68
CER 6 of 8 (75%) · CAP 3 of 5 (60%)53.1%
Cerro Largo FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Progreso: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at CA Progreso's level · CA Progreso: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113%
Cerro Largo FC goals →
CA Progreso goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CERRO LARGO FCLWLDLLWLLD0.80 PPG
CA PROGRESOLWWDLWWLLW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CERRO LARGO FC HOMExCA PROGRESO AWAY
0.94SCORED A GAME0.891.17CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.69CORNERS A GAME4.063.00CARDS A GAME3.09
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME2.00-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.812LEAGUE GAMES9
CA Progreso: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CA PROGRESO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CERRO LARGO FC OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
CA PROGRESO OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CERRO LARGO FCxCA PROGRESO
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.47.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cerro Largo FC have scored in 50% of their games.
CA Progreso have scored in 80% of their games.
Cerro Largo FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CA Progreso kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards