Match details. CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Mineiro MG have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Boca Juniors have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Atletico Mineiro MG score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Atletico Mineiro MG average 12.4 shots (5.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Boca Juniors score two and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Boca Juniors average 11.7 shots (4.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Atletico Mineiro MG's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Boca Juniors to win. A tight game. Boca Juniors are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Boca Juniors. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Boca Juniors (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: Boca Juniors (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Atletico Mineiro MG 0-1 Boca Juniors (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Boca Juniors or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · BOC 3 of 5 (60%)81.7%
Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
Boca Juniors or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · BOC 3 of 5 (60%)74.4%
Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Boca Juniors or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.59
ATL 5 of 6 (83%) · BOC 3 of 5 (60%)74.4%
Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Boca Juniors win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · BOC 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Boca Juniors: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Boca Juniors or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · BOC 6 of 6 (100%)69%
Boca Juniors scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home
Boca Juniors 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · BOC 5 of 6 (83%)67.8%
Boca Juniors scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG trailed in 2 of 5 at home
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · BOC 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Atletico Mineiro MG: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Boca Juniors: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · BOC 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Atletico Mineiro MG: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Boca Juniors: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG GOALS
Atletico Mineiro MG Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · BOC 4 of 6 (67%)68.9%
Atletico Mineiro MG scored in 4 of 5 at home · Boca Juniors conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 60%
Atletico Mineiro MG Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · BOC 4 of 6 (67%)65.6%
Atletico Mineiro MG scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Boca Juniors conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%
BOCA JUNIORS GOALS
Boca Juniors Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · BOC 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Boca Juniors scored in 6 of 6 away · Atletico Mineiro MG conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · BOC 6 of 6 (100%)81.7%
Atletico Mineiro MG's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · Boca Juniors's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%
Left off the list: Boca Juniors (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (49%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: Boca Juniors (the numbers (36%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.9%
Atletico Mineiro MG goals →
Boca Juniors goals ↓
0-010%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO MINEIRO MGWDWWWLLLLL1.30 PPG
BOCA JUNIORSDWWWDLWWWW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG HOMExBOCA JUNIORS AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.20CORNERS A GAME5.502.00CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME2.07+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.64+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES14
Boca Juniors: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
29%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ATLETICO MINEIRO MG OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
BOCA JUNIORS OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO MINEIRO MGxBOCA JUNIORS
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.811.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Atletico Mineiro MG have scored in 60% of their games.
Boca Juniors have scored in 90% of their games.
Atletico Mineiro MG kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Boca Juniors kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards