Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 8. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Palencia CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. Atletico Bembibre have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.
The numbers. Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Palencia CF average 9.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Atletico Bembibre score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Atletico Bembibre average 8.0 shots (4.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Atletico Bembibre's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Palencia CF to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Palencia CF the likelier winners; Palencia CF are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Palencia CF 1-0 Atletico Bembibre (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).