UE Porreres vs CD Llosetense
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. UE Porreres have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. CD Llosetense have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. UE Porreres score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UE Porreres average 10.7 shots (4.3 on target), 7.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game. CD Llosetense score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Llosetense average 8.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 48% against the records' 73%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. No firm call: UE Porreres are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make UE Porreres the likelier winners; UE Porreres are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UE Porreres.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: UE Porreres 1-1 CD Llosetense (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).