THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:15 Lagos time.
Form. Astur CF have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. UC Ceares have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.
The numbers. Astur CF score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Astur CF average 6.3 shots (3.6 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. UC Ceares score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. UC Ceares average 5.1 shots (2.8 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The case against. Astur CF's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. UC Ceares to win. Their goals for and against make UC Ceares the likelier winners; UC Ceares are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or UC Ceares at 1.36, 78% on the records (UC Ceares unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Astur CF failed to win 9 of 9). Predicted score: Astur CF 0-1 UC Ceares (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UC Ceares or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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AST 4 of 5 (80%) · UCC 8 of 9 (89%)84.4%
UC Ceares: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Astur CF: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
UC Ceares or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
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AST 4 of 5 (80%) · UCC 6 of 9 (67%)82.2%
UC Ceares scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Astur CF trailed or failed to win in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
Double Chance: Draw or UC CearesMAININ CODES
1.36
AST 3 of 5 (60%) · UCC 9 of 9 (100%)78.3%
UC Ceares unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Astur CF failed to win 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
UC Ceares or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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AST 3 of 5 (60%) · UCC 7 of 9 (78%)70.6%
UC Ceares: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Astur CF: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
UC Ceares (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
AST 3 of 8 (38%) · UCC 5 of 5 (100%)68.8%
UC Ceares won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Astur CF lost 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · won 4, refunded 4, lost 2
UC Ceares or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
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AST 3 of 5 (60%) · UCC 6 of 9 (67%)63.3%
UC Ceares: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Astur CF: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
UC Ceares 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
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AST 2 of 5 (40%) · UCC 4 of 9 (44%)52%
UC Ceares scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Astur CF trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
GOALS
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AST 8 of 9 (89%) · UCC 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%
Astur CF: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level
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AST 8 of 9 (89%) · UCC 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%
Astur CF: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level
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AST 8 of 9 (89%) · UCC 4 of 5 (80%)86.1%
Astur CF: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level
1.33
AST 6 of 9 (67%) · UCC 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Astur CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level
ASTUR CF GOALS
Astur CF Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
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AST 5 of 9 (56%) · UCC 3 of 5 (60%)59.4%
Astur CF scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level
UC CEARES GOALS
UC Ceares Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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AST 3 of 5 (60%) · UCC 8 of 9 (89%)76.1%
UC Ceares scored in 3 of 5 away · Astur CF conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level
CARDS
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AST 4 of 7 (57%) · UCC 8 of 9 (89%)73%
Astur CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · UC Ceares's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Astur CF: only games against sides at UC Ceares's level · UC Ceares: only games against sides at Astur CF's level
TRENDS
Astur CF have scored in 60% of their games.
UC Ceares have scored in 70% of their games.
Astur CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
UC Ceares kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.