ENGLAND - EFL CUP
21:00Wed 16 Dec
BOU
BOU
Liverpool vs Bournemouth
CLASS A
THE READ
Match details. EFL Cup. Kick-off is Wed 16 Dec, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Liverpool have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Bournemouth have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Liverpool score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Liverpool average 14.5 shots (5.2 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Bournemouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Bournemouth average 14.4 shots (5.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Bournemouth the likelier winners, but Bournemouth are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Liverpool 1-1 Bournemouth (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bournemouth or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 6 (83%) · BOU 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
Bournemouth: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level
Bournemouth or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 6 (83%) · BOU 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
Bournemouth: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Liverpool: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bournemouth: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Liverpool: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bournemouth: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · BOU 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%
Liverpool: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bournemouth: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · BOU 5 of 6 (83%)71.7%
Liverpool: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bournemouth: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
BOURNEMOUTH GOALS
Bournemouth Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 5 of 6 (83%) · BOU 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
Bournemouth scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · BOU 5 of 6 (83%)71.7%
Liverpool: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bournemouth: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · BOU 5 of 6 (83%)71.7%
Liverpool's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Bournemouth's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Liverpool: only games against sides at Bournemouth's level · Bournemouth: only games against sides at Liverpool's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 10.7%
Liverpool goals →
Bournemouth goals ↓
0-05%
1-05%
2-03%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-18%
1-111%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-210%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-36%
1-36%
2-34%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-43%
1-43%
2-42%
3-40.7%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-51%
1-51%
2-50.7%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
LIVERPOOLWWLWWWWDLL1.90 PPG
BOURNEMOUTHDWLLWWWWWW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIVERPOOL HOMExBOURNEMOUTH AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME2.101.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS60%7.00CORNERS A GAME4.702.00CARDS A GAME2.70
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.33+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.91.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
LIVERPOOL OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
BOURNEMOUTH OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIVERPOOLxBOURNEMOUTH
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Liverpool have scored in 80% of their games.
Bournemouth have scored in 90% of their games.
Liverpool kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Bournemouth kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards