ENGLAND - EFL CUP
20:30Wed 16 Dec
SUN
SA
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland AFC
CLASS A
THE READ
Match details. EFL Cup. Kick-off is Wed 16 Dec, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Crystal Palace have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Sunderland AFC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. Crystal Palace score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 8.6 shots (3.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Sunderland AFC score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Sunderland AFC average 12.9 shots (4.3 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The case against. Sunderland AFC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Crystal Palace to win. Their goals for and against make Crystal Palace the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Crystal Palace.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Crystal Palace 1-0 Sunderland AFC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Crystal Palace or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 5 of 6 (83%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%
Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Sunderland AFC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 5 of 6 (83%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%
Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
Crystal Palace or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 3 of 6 (50%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)66.7%
Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Sunderland AFC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 2 of 6 (33%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)58.3%
Sunderland AFC: the bet landed in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 6 of 6 (100%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)93.8%
Crystal Palace: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 5 of 6 (83%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)93.1%
Crystal Palace: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 4 of 6 (67%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)85.3%
Crystal Palace: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 5 of 6 (83%) · SUN 5 of 6 (83%)76.8%
Crystal Palace: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRY 3 of 6 (50%) · SUN 2 of 6 (33%)52.2%
Crystal Palace: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sunderland AFC: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · Crystal Palace: only games against sides at Sunderland AFC's level · Sunderland AFC: only games against sides at Crystal Palace's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.2%
Crystal Palace goals →
Sunderland AFC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CRYSTAL PALACELWDWLLDLWL1.10 PPG
SUNDERLAND AFCLWLLWLDDWL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CRYSTAL PALACE HOMExSUNDERLAND AFC AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.101.80CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.80CORNERS A GAME5.402.10CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.78POINTS A GAME0.56-1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.11-4.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.50.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.29LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
CRYSTAL PALACE OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
SUNDERLAND AFC OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CRYSTAL PALACExSUNDERLAND AFC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.802.00CONCEDED A GAME2.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.012.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Crystal Palace have scored in 60% of their games.
Sunderland AFC have scored in 60% of their games.
Crystal Palace kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Sunderland AFC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards