PORTUGAL - CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL
16:00Sun 8 Nov
FCS
FS
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense vs FC Serpa
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. FC Serpa have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense score 0.6 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense average 7.9 shots (2.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FC Serpa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. FC Serpa average 9.8 shots (5.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 4.2 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Serpa or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SC Mineiro Aljustrelense 1-1 FC Serpa (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Serpa or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 7 of 8 (88%) · FCS 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%
FC Serpa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
FC Serpa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 5 of 8 (62%) · FCS 8 of 8 (100%)81.3%
FC Serpa: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
FC Serpa or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 5 of 8 (62%) · FCS 5 of 8 (62%)62.5%
FC Serpa: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
Double Chance: Draw or FC SerpaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
SCM 6 of 8 (75%) · FCS 8 of 8 (100%)61.5%
FC Serpa unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
FC Serpa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 2 of 5 (40%) · FCS 4 of 7 (57%)56.2%
FC Serpa scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)95.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)91.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 8 of 8 (100%) · FCS 7 of 8 (88%)88.5%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
FC SERPA GOALS
FC Serpa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 7 of 8 (88%) · FCS 8 of 8 (100%)70.5%
FC Serpa scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCM 5 of 7 (71%) · FCS 7 of 7 (100%)85.7%
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Serpa's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · SC Mineiro Aljustrelense: only games against sides at FC Serpa's level · FC Serpa: only games against sides at SC Mineiro Aljustrelense's level
Left off the list: FC Serpa or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (67%) and the records (89%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
SC Mineiro… goals →
FC Serpa goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41.0%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SC MINEIRO ALJUSTRELENSELDLWDLLLDL0.60 PPG
FC SERPALWWDDDDWLD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SC MINEIRO ALJUSTRELENSE HOMExFC SERPA AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.502.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.78CORNERS A GAME3.222.33CARDS A GAME4.22
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense have scored in 40% of their games.
FC Serpa have scored in 90% of their games.
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
FC Serpa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards