SC Maria da Fonte vs AD Ponte Da Barca
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Maria da Fonte have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. AD Ponte Da Barca have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. SC Maria da Fonte score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SC Maria da Fonte average 10.0 shots (2.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game. AD Ponte Da Barca score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. AD Ponte Da Barca average 10.2 shots (3.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 23% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: AD Ponte Da Barca are the better side, but not at this price. AD Ponte Da Barca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Ponte Da Barca.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: SC Maria da Fonte 1-1 AD Ponte Da Barca (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).