Rebordosa AC vs Brito SC
Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Rebordosa AC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. Brito SC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Rebordosa AC score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Rebordosa AC average 10.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Brito SC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Brito SC average 10.0 shots (3.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 48%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The read. No firm call: Rebordosa AC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Rebordosa AC the likelier winners; Rebordosa AC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rebordosa AC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Rebordosa AC 1-1 Brito SC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).