Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ass Naval 1º de Maio have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. At Malveira have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. Ass Naval 1º de Maio score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ass Naval 1º de Maio average 8.3 shots (3.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game. At Malveira score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. At Malveira average 8.6 shots (3.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Ass Naval 1º de Maio 1-1 At Malveira (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).