Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. Antela FC have won three, drawn four and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D D W. Silva SD have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. Antela FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Antela FC average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 1.8 corners and 5.2 cards a game. Silva SD score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Silva SD average 7.1 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Antela FC 2-1 Silva SD (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Antela FC the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).