Match details. FA Cup. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Stafford Rangers have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. Grimsby Town have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Stafford Rangers score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Stafford Rangers average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Grimsby Town score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Grimsby Town average 10.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 13% against the records' 53%.
The read. No firm call: Stafford Rangers are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stafford Rangers the likelier winners; Stafford Rangers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stafford Rangers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Stafford Rangers 2-1 Grimsby Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).