Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. GD Lagoa have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Real SC Queluz have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D.
The numbers. GD Lagoa score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. GD Lagoa average 6.9 shots (2.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Real SC Queluz score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Real SC Queluz average 10.8 shots (3.9 on target), 2.7 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: GD Lagoa 1-1 Real SC Queluz (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)95.2%
GD Lagoa: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 8 of 8 (100%)91.9%
GD Lagoa: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)87.9%
GD Lagoa: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)53.4%
GD Lagoa: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
GD LAGOA GOALS
GD Lagoa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)72.2%
GD Lagoa scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
REAL SC QUELUZ GOALS
Real SC Queluz Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 8 (88%) · REA 8 of 9 (89%)73%
Real SC Queluz scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · GD Lagoa conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GDL 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 7 (71%)74.6%
GD Lagoa's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real SC Queluz's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · GD Lagoa: only games against sides at Real SC Queluz's level · Real SC Queluz: only games against sides at GD Lagoa's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
GD Lagoa goals →
Real SC Queluz goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
GD LAGOAWLDLWDLDLL0.90 PPG
REAL SC QUELUZLWWDLDDDWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GD LAGOA HOMExREAL SC QUELUZ AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.90CORNERS A GAME2.672.10CARDS A GAME3.11
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
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543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
GD Lagoa have scored in 80% of their games.
Real SC Queluz have scored in 90% of their games.
GD Lagoa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Real SC Queluz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards