Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Promotion Playoffs, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Spartak Tambov have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. FC Murom have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.
The numbers. Spartak Tambov score 2.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Spartak Tambov average 9.0 shots (3.8 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game. FC Murom score 2.1 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Spartak Tambov 1-1 FC Murom (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).