Match details. Serie D, Group G. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Monastir have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. ASD Sarnese 1926 have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Monastir score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Monastir average 4.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game. ASD Sarnese 1926 score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. ASD Sarnese 1926 average 2.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Monastir the likelier winners, but ASD Sarnese 1926 are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ASD Sarnese 1926 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Monastir 2-2 ASD Sarnese 1926 (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).