Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Strasbourg have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Brest have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Strasbourg score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Strasbourg average 10.7 shots (5.2 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Brest score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Brest average 12.8 shots (5.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Strasbourg the likelier winners, but Brest are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 78% on the records (Strasbourg: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Brest: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: 2nd Half - Brest Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Brest or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Brest or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Strasbourg 2-1 Brest (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).