Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. ASD Nocerina 1910 have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Real Forio 2014 have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. ASD Nocerina 1910 score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. ASD Nocerina 1910 average 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Real Forio 2014 score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Forio 2014 average 5.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The case against. Real Forio 2014's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. ASD Nocerina 1910 to win. Their goals for and against make ASD Nocerina 1910 the likelier winners; both teams' records favour ASD Nocerina 1910.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: ASD Nocerina 1910 1-0 Real Forio 2014 (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)95.2%
ASD Nocerina 1910: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · ASD Nocerina 1910: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at ASD Nocerina 1910's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 9 of 9 (100%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)91.8%
ASD Nocerina 1910: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · ASD Nocerina 1910: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at ASD Nocerina 1910's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)87.9%
ASD Nocerina 1910: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · ASD Nocerina 1910: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at ASD Nocerina 1910's level
ASD NOCERINA 1910 GOALS
ASD Nocerina 1910 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%
ASD Nocerina 1910 scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Forio 2014 conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · ASD Nocerina 1910: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at ASD Nocerina 1910's level
REAL FORIO 2014 GOALS
Real Forio 2014 Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASD 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 7 of 9 (78%)66.3%
Real Forio 2014 scored in 3 of 5 away · ASD Nocerina 1910 conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Real Forio 2014: only games against sides at ASD Nocerina 1910's level · ASD Nocerina 1910: only games against sides at Real Forio 2014's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.5%
ASD Nocerina 1910 goals →
Real Forio 2014 goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
ASD NOCERINA 1910LLLLDWWLWD1.10 PPG
REAL FORIO 2014DLLLLLDWLW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ASD NOCERINA 1910 HOMExREAL FORIO 2014 AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7060%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS0%5.40CORNERS A GAME5.501.80CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.88POINTS A GAME0.56-0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.28LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
68%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ASD NOCERINA 1910 OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
REAL FORIO 2014 OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ASD NOCERINA 1910xREAL FORIO 2014
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.802.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
ASD Nocerina 1910 have scored in 80% of their games.
Real Forio 2014 have scored in 80% of their games.
ASD Nocerina 1910 kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Real Forio 2014 kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards