Match details. Serie D, Group H. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AS Melfi 1929 have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Brindisi FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. AS Melfi 1929 score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AS Melfi 1929 average 9.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Brindisi FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Brindisi FC average 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. AS Melfi 1929's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Brindisi FC to win. A tight game. Brindisi FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Brindisi FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AS Melfi 1929 0-1 Brindisi FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).