Match details. Serie D, Group F. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Termoli have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. US Ancona 1905 have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Termoli score 0.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. US Ancona 1905 score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. US Ancona 1905 average 5.0 corners and 7.0 cards a game.
The case against. Termoli's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. US Ancona 1905 to win. A tight game. US Ancona 1905 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Ancona 1905. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Termoli 0-1 US Ancona 1905 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).