Match details. Tweede Divisie. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Hoek have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. IJsselmeervogels have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Hoek score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Hoek average 6.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. IJsselmeervogels score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. IJsselmeervogels average 6.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. IJsselmeervogels to win. IJsselmeervogels are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IJsselmeervogels.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hoek 0-1 IJsselmeervogels (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).