Match details. Serie D, Group C. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Unione La Rocca Altavilla have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. AC Este have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Unione La Rocca Altavilla score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Unione La Rocca Altavilla average 3.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. AC Este score 0.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. AC Este average 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. AC Este's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Unione La Rocca Altavilla to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Unione La Rocca Altavilla the likelier winners; Unione La Rocca Altavilla are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Unione La Rocca Altavilla 1-0 AC Este (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).