Match details. Serie D, Group C. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Bassano Virtus have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W. FC Calvi Noale have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. Bassano Virtus score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bassano Virtus average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Calvi Noale score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
The case against. FC Calvi Noale's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Bassano Virtus to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Bassano Virtus the likelier winners; Bassano Virtus are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Bassano Virtus 1-0 FC Calvi Noale (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).