Match details. Serie D, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AC Leon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Virtus Verona have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.
The numbers. AC Leon score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AC Leon average 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Virtus Verona score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Virtus Verona average 5.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Virtus Verona's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. AC Leon to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AC Leon the likelier winners; AC Leon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Leon. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AC Leon 3-0 Virtus Verona (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AC Leon (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 4 of 6 (67%) · VIR 4 of 7 (57%)91.5%
AC Leon won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Virtus Verona lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 4
AC Leon or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · VIR 8 of 10 (80%)90%
AC Leon: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
AC Leon or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 7 of 8 (88%) · VIR 7 of 10 (70%)78.8%
AC Leon: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
AC Leon to WinHELD · the odds board 53%
1.88
ACL 4 of 8 (50%) · VIR 4 of 10 (40%)77.4%
AC Leon won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona lost 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · VIR 10 of 10 (100%)95.2%
AC Leon: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · VIR 10 of 10 (100%)90.4%
AC Leon: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 7 of 8 (88%) · VIR 6 of 10 (60%)82.1%
AC Leon: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 8 of 8 (100%) · VIR 9 of 10 (90%)79.6%
AC Leon: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
AC LEON GOALS
AC Leon Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACL 7 of 8 (88%) · VIR 7 of 10 (70%)91.6%
AC Leon scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Virtus Verona conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AC Leon: only games against sides at Virtus Verona's level · Virtus Verona: only games against sides at AC Leon's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 3–011.3%
AC Leon goals →
Virtus Verona goals ↓
0-05%
1-011%
2-014%
3-011%
4-07%
5-03%
0-12%
1-17%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-20.9%
1-22%
2-23%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.7%
0-30.2%
1-30.5%
2-30.6%
3-30.5%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.0%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
AC LEONWDLWWWWLDD1.80 PPG
VIRTUS VERONALLWDLLWDWD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AC LEON HOMExVIRTUS VERONA AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%BOTH SCORED40%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.67CORNERS A GAME5.332.00CARDS A GAME1.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME1.33+0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES9
AC Leon: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AC LEON OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
VIRTUS VERONA OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AC LEONxVIRTUS VERONA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AC Leon have scored in 90% of their games.
Virtus Verona have scored in 70% of their games.
AC Leon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Virtus Verona kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards