ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP A
14:30Sun 8 Nov
HSL
HD
AC Gozzano vs HSL Derthona
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AC Gozzano have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. HSL Derthona have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L.
The numbers. AC Gozzano score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. AC Gozzano average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. HSL Derthona score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. HSL Derthona average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AC Gozzano 1-1 HSL Derthona (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
HSL Derthona or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 4 of 5 (80%) · HSL 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
HSL Derthona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · AC Gozzano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
HSL Derthona or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 3 of 5 (60%) · HSL 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%
HSL Derthona: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · AC Gozzano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 5 of 5 (100%) · HSL 4 of 5 (80%)95%
AC Gozzano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · HSL Derthona: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 4 of 5 (80%) · HSL 3 of 5 (60%)92%
AC Gozzano: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · HSL Derthona: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 4 of 5 (80%) · HSL 3 of 5 (60%)87.6%
AC Gozzano: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · HSL Derthona: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 4 of 5 (80%) · HSL 2 of 5 (40%)74.1%
AC Gozzano: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · HSL Derthona: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 2 of 5 (40%) · HSL 2 of 5 (40%)53.5%
AC Gozzano: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · HSL Derthona: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level
AC GOZZANO GOALS
AC Gozzano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 3 of 5 (60%) · HSL 2 of 5 (40%)75.4%
AC Gozzano scored in 3 of 5 at home · HSL Derthona conceded in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level
HSL DERTHONA GOALS
HSL Derthona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACG 3 of 5 (60%) · HSL 3 of 5 (60%)70.1%
HSL Derthona scored in 3 of 5 away · AC Gozzano conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · HSL Derthona: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at HSL Derthona's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
AC Gozzano goals →
HSL Derthona goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
AC GOZZANODWLLLWWDLW1.40 PPG
HSL DERTHONAWDDLLDWWDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AC GOZZANO HOMExHSL DERTHONA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.401.50CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.003.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.25POINTS A GAME1.60-0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES10
HSL Derthona: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
AC GOZZANO OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
HSL DERTHONA OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AC GOZZANOxHSL DERTHONA
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.602.40CONCEDED A GAME2.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AC Gozzano have scored in 60% of their games.
HSL Derthona have scored in 80% of their games.
AC Gozzano kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
HSL Derthona kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards