Match details. Serie D, Group C. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. AC Virtus Bolzano have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia average 2.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. AC Virtus Bolzano score 0.6 and concede four a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Virtus Bolzano average 3.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The case against. AC Virtus Bolzano's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia to win. Their goals for and against make ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia the likelier winners; ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: ASD Lavarian Mortean Esperia 1-0 AC Virtus Bolzano (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).