ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP E
14:30Sun 8 Nov
USF
UF
Mezzolara Calcio vs US Follonica Gavorrano
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group E. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Mezzolara Calcio have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. US Follonica Gavorrano have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D.
The numbers. Mezzolara Calcio score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Follonica Gavorrano score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. US Follonica Gavorrano average 5.0 corners and 6.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 63%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Mezzolara Calcio 1-1 US Follonica Gavorrano (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
US Follonica Gavorrano or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 10 of 10 (100%) · USF 3 of 5 (60%)83.3%
US Follonica Gavorrano: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mezzolara Calcio: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
US Follonica Gavorrano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 10 of 10 (100%) · USF 3 of 5 (60%)83.3%
US Follonica Gavorrano: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mezzolara Calcio: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 5 of 5 (100%) · USF 10 of 10 (100%)95.4%
Mezzolara Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Follonica Gavorrano: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 3 of 5 (60%) · USF 10 of 10 (100%)91.6%
Mezzolara Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · US Follonica Gavorrano: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 5 of 5 (100%) · USF 9 of 10 (90%)88.3%
Mezzolara Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · US Follonica Gavorrano: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 3 of 5 (60%) · USF 7 of 10 (70%)52.7%
Mezzolara Calcio: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · US Follonica Gavorrano: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level
MEZZOLARA CALCIO GOALS
Mezzolara Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 3 of 5 (60%) · USF 7 of 10 (70%)72.3%
Mezzolara Calcio scored in 3 of 5 at home · US Follonica Gavorrano conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO GOALS
US Follonica Gavorrano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MEZ 10 of 10 (100%) · USF 3 of 5 (60%)72%
US Follonica Gavorrano scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mezzolara Calcio conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · US Follonica Gavorrano: only games against sides at Mezzolara Calcio's level · Mezzolara Calcio: only games against sides at US Follonica Gavorrano's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Mezzolara Calcio goals →
US Follonica Gavorrano goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
MEZZOLARA CALCIOLDDDDDDWLD1.00 PPG
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANOWDDDDWWWDW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MEZZOLARA CALCIO HOMExUS FOLLONICA GAVORRANO AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.501.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8060%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.11POINTS A GAME1.89-0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.56–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES9
US Follonica Gavorrano: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MEZZOLARA CALCIO OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
US FOLLONICA GAVORRANO OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MEZZOLARA CALCIOxUS FOLLONICA GAVORRANO
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Mezzolara Calcio have scored in 60% of their games.
US Follonica Gavorrano have scored in 100% of their games.
Mezzolara Calcio kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
US Follonica Gavorrano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table