VFVAR

14:30Sun 8 Nov

ASD

Varese FC vs ASD Sant'Angelo

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. Varese FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. ASD Sant'Angelo have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.

The numbers. Varese FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Varese FC average 1.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. ASD Sant'Angelo score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASD Sant'Angelo average 1.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The case against. ASD Sant'Angelo's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. Varese FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Varese FC the likelier winners; Varese FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Varese FC 1-0 ASD Sant'Angelo (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 8 of 9 (89%) · ASD 8 of 8 (100%)94.8%

Varese FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sant'Angelo: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Varese FC: only games against sides at ASD Sant'Angelo's level · ASD Sant'Angelo: only games against sides at Varese FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 7 of 8 (88%)92.3%

Varese FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sant'Angelo: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Varese FC: only games against sides at ASD Sant'Angelo's level · ASD Sant'Angelo: only games against sides at Varese FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

VAR 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 8 of 8 (100%)87.1%

Varese FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sant'Angelo: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Varese FC: only games against sides at ASD Sant'Angelo's level · ASD Sant'Angelo: only games against sides at Varese FC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.4%

Varese FC goals →

ASD Sant'Angelo goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

VARESE FCLDWWLLDWDL1.20 PPG

ASD SANT'ANGELOLLWWLWLLDW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VARESE FC HOMExASD SANT'ANGELO AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.101.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1050%BOTH SCORED40%40%CLEAN SHEETS20%1.67CORNERS A GAME1.672.00CARDS A GAME2.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.62POINTS A GAME1.00+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8

Varese FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

VARESE FC OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

ASD SANT'ANGELO OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

VARESE FCxASD SANT'ANGELO

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Varese FC have scored in 70% of their games.

ASD Sant'Angelo have scored in 50% of their games.

Varese FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

ASD Sant'Angelo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards