Al-Najma vs AL Ula
Match details. Division 1, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah.
What's at stake. Al-Najma are 3rd on 19 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Al Jabalain, 1 point clear of Al Wehda Club. A win would take them above Al Jabalain. AL Ula are 1st on 25 points after 9 games, 4 points clear of Al Jabalain.
Form. Al-Najma have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Al-Najma have gone W W W W D D. AL Ula have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Al-Najma score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Al-Najma average 5.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. AL Ula score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AL Ula average 13.6 shots (6.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: AL Ula 1UP (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: AL Ula (the signs point different ways); AL Ula or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Al-Najma 1-1 AL Ula (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).