SSSAF

15:30Sat 7 Nov

TRI

Safa SC vs Tripoli AC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Safa SC are 2nd on 12 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Jwaaya FC, 2 points clear of Tadamon Sour. A win would take them above Jwaaya FC. Tripoli AC are 5th on 7 points after 5 games, 2 points behind Al Ahed, 2 points clear of Al Nejmeh. A win would take them above Al Ahed.

Form. Safa SC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Tripoli AC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.

The numbers. Safa SC score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Safa SC average 8.0 shots (4.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Tripoli AC score 1.2 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tripoli AC average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Safa SC have won four, drawn two and lost three. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Safa SC won one, two were drawn and Tripoli AC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Oct 2023, it finished Safa SC 4-2 Tripoli AC.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Tripoli AC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Safa SC to win. Safa SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Safa SC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Safa SC 1-0 Tripoli AC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tripoli AC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAF 6 of 7 (86%) · TRI 7 of 7 (100%)90.5%

Tripoli AC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Safa SC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level

Safa SC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAF 7 of 7 (100%) · TRI 5 of 7 (71%)85.1%

Safa SC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tripoli AC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAF 7 of 7 (100%) · TRI 7 of 7 (100%)95.8%

Safa SC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tripoli AC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 6 · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAF 7 of 7 (100%) · TRI 6 of 7 (86%)90.5%

Safa SC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tripoli AC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAF 6 of 7 (86%) · TRI 7 of 7 (100%)90.5%

Safa SC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tripoli AC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

SAF 7 of 7 (100%) · TRI 5 of 7 (71%)85.1%

Safa SC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tripoli AC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.32

SAF 5 of 7 (71%) · TRI 7 of 7 (100%)85.1%

Safa SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tripoli AC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · Safa SC: only games against sides at Tripoli AC's level · Tripoli AC: only games against sides at Safa SC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.9%

Safa SC goals →

Tripoli AC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SAFA SCLDWWLLWWWW1.90 PPG

TRIPOLI ACWDLWWDWWLL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SAFA SC HOMExTRIPOLI AC AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME0.6040%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%2.88CORNERS A GAME5.201.00CARDS A GAME1.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

SAFA SC 4 · 44%DRAW 2TRIPOLI AC 3 · 33%

5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-03-10Safa SC 1 – 0 Tripoli AC

2020-10-11Safa SC 3 – 0 Tripoli AC

2021-10-18Safa SC 1 – 2 Tripoli AC

2022-03-20Safa SC 0 – 2 Tripoli AC

2022-04-19Safa SC 2 – 1 Tripoli AC

2022-12-11Safa SC 0 – 0 Tripoli AC

2023-01-08Safa SC 1 – 2 Tripoli AC

2023-02-19Safa SC 1 – 1 Tripoli AC

TRENDS

Safa SC have scored in 90% of their games.

Tripoli AC have scored in 80% of their games.

Safa SC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Tripoli AC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards