Match details. National League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat are 12th on 11 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Kafr Qasim, level on points with Ironi Modi'in. A win would take them above Kafr Qasim. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa are 15th on 9 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Maccabi Herzliya, 7 points clear of Hapoel Acre. A win would take them above Maccabi Herzliya.
Form. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat have gone L D D D L L. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have gone L W L L W L.
The numbers. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat average 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa average 2.8 corners and 4.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat have won two, drawn two and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat won one, one was drawn and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa won two. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2020, it finished Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat 0-0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat to win. Their goals for and against make Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat the likelier winners; Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat 1-0 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).