Match details. Second Division. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. AL Qala have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. Afief have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. AL Qala score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Afief score 1.1 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Afief average 3.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The case against. Afief's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. AL Qala to win. Their goals for and against make AL Qala the likelier winners; AL Qala are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Qala.
The bets. Best bet: AL Qala or Draw at 1.21, 75% on the records (AL Qala unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Afief failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: AL Qala or Both Teams Score at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: AL Qala 1-0 Afief (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).