Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Kenya Commercial Bank have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. Aps Bomet FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D.
The numbers. Kenya Commercial Bank score 1.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Kenya Commercial Bank average 9.7 shots (3.4 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Aps Bomet FC score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Aps Bomet FC average 6.9 shots (3.4 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, 75% on the records (Kenya Commercial Bank: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Aps Bomet FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.10. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Kenya Commercial Bank 1-1 Aps Bomet FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).