Match details. National League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC are 2nd on 27 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Ashdod, 1 point clear of Hapoel Kfar Shalem. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC are 10th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Hapoel Kfar Saba, 1 point clear of Kafr Qasim. A win would take them above Hapoel Kfar Saba.
Form. Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC have gone L W D W W W. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC have gone W D L W L L.
The numbers. Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC score two and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC average 6.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC average 5.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC have won none, drawn four and lost none. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 17 Mar 2023, it finished Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC 2-2 Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 37%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC the likelier winners; Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC 1-1 Maccabi Achi Nazareth FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).