Match details. Super League. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time.
Form. Aris Thessaloniki have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Panaitolikos Agrinio have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Aris Thessaloniki score 1.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Aris Thessaloniki average 11.9 shots (3.3 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Panaitolikos Agrinio score 0.8 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Panaitolikos Agrinio average 8.5 shots (3.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. Panaitolikos Agrinio's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Aris Thessaloniki to win. Their goals for and against make Aris Thessaloniki the likelier winners; Aris Thessaloniki are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aris Thessaloniki.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aris Thessaloniki 1-0 Panaitolikos Agrinio (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).