Match details. IFL, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium.
What's at stake. Shillong Lajong FC are 4th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Dempo, level on points with Sreenidi Deccan. A win would take them above Dempo.
Form. Shillong Lajong FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. Chanmari FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. Shillong Lajong FC score 2.9 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. Shillong Lajong FC average 12.8 shots (5.5 on target), 14.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Chanmari FC score 2.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chanmari FC average 13.0 shots (5.6 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Chanmari FC's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. Shillong Lajong FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chanmari FC the likelier winners; Chanmari FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 77% on the records (Shillong Lajong FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home; Chanmari FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Shillong Lajong FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 8.5 Corners (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Shillong Lajong FC 2-1 Chanmari FC (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).