Match details. Liga Alef. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik average 7.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot to win. Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Under 1.5 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 0-1 Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).