Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Mon 9 Nov, 02:30 Lagos time.
Form. Universitario de Deportes have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. CD Moquegua have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Universitario de Deportes score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Universitario de Deportes average 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. CD Moquegua score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CD Moquegua average 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: Universitario de Deportes are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Universitario de Deportes the likelier winners; Universitario de Deportes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Universitario de Deportes. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Universitario de Deportes 2-1 CD Moquegua (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).