CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA Alvarado
Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Sarmiento de la Banda have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. CA Alvarado have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W.
The numbers. CA Sarmiento de la Banda score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Sarmiento de la Banda average 8.8 shots (3.8 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CA Alvarado score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Alvarado average 10.7 shots (2.4 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CA Alvarado or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Alvarado or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Alvarado or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1-1 CA Alvarado (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).