Match details. Australian Championship. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Avondale FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. Adelaide City FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. Avondale FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Avondale FC average 11.5 shots (5.3 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Adelaide City FC score 2.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Adelaide City FC average 13.0 shots (6.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Avondale FC the likelier winners, but Adelaide City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Adelaide City FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Adelaide City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Avondale FC 2-1 Adelaide City FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).