Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Al Ittihad have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. AL Tadamun Buri have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Al Ittihad score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Ittihad average 6.0 shots (1.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AL Tadamun Buri score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. AL Tadamun Buri average 6.7 shots (2.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. AL Tadamun Buri's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Al Ittihad to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Ittihad the likelier winners; Al Ittihad are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ittihad. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Ittihad 2-1 AL Tadamun Buri (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).