Qalali Club vs Busaiteen
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Qalali Club have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Busaiteen have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.
The numbers. Qalali Club score 0.6 and concede 4.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Qalali Club average 2.0 shots (1.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Busaiteen score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Busaiteen average 9.1 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 91% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Busaiteen are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Busaiteen the likelier winners; Busaiteen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Busaiteen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Qalali Club 1-2 Busaiteen (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).