LB Chateauroux vs Nimes
Match details. National 1, Group C - 9. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Gaston Petit.
What's at stake. LB Chateauroux are 16th on 3 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Istres, level on points with Canet Roussillon. A win would take them above Istres. Nimes are 1st on 17 points after 8 games, 2 points clear of Rumilly Vallières.
Form. LB Chateauroux have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. Nimes have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W.
The numbers. LB Chateauroux score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. LB Chateauroux average 6.0 shots (2.0 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Nimes score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Nimes average 8.7 shots (6.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2025, it finished LB Chateauroux 3-2 Nimes.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 40% against the records' 67%.
The read. No firm call: Nimes are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Nimes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nimes. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: LB Chateauroux 1-1 Nimes (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).