Match details. Primera C. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Leones de Rosario FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. CS Barracas have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L.
The numbers. Leones de Rosario FC score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Leones de Rosario FC average 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CS Barracas score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Barracas average 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. CS Barracas's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Leones de Rosario FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Leones de Rosario FC the likelier winners; Leones de Rosario FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 17%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CS Barracas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Leones de Rosario FC); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Leones de Rosario FC 1-0 CS Barracas (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Leones de Rosario FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · CSB 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
Leones de Rosario FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Barracas: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at CS Barracas's level · CS Barracas: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · CSB 5 of 5 (100%)95.5%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Barracas: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at CS Barracas's level · CS Barracas: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 9 of 10 (90%) · CSB 5 of 5 (100%)88.4%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Barracas: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at CS Barracas's level · CS Barracas: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 9 of 10 (90%) · CSB 5 of 5 (100%)74.7%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Barracas: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at CS Barracas's level · CS Barracas: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · CSB 5 of 5 (100%)53.1%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Barracas: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at CS Barracas's level · CS Barracas: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
LEONES DE ROSARIO FC GOALS
Leones de Rosario FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · CSB 3 of 5 (60%)77.9%
Leones de Rosario FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CS Barracas conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at CS Barracas's level · CS Barracas: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Left off the list: CS Barracas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Leones de Rosario FC); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.1%
Leones de Rosario FC goals →
CS Barracas goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LEONES DE ROSARIO FCLWLWWLDDWW1.70 PPG
CS BARRACASWDDDLDLLWL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEONES DE ROSARIO FC HOMExCS BARRACAS AWAY
0.97SCORED A GAME1.000.78CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%BOTH SCORED30%50%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.61CORNERS A GAME3.942.79CARDS A GAME2.39
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.44POINTS A GAME0.80+0.04GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.30+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.11.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.225LEAGUE GAMES10
Leones de Rosario FC: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
16%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LEONES DE ROSARIO FC OR DRAW
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CS BARRACAS OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (25 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEONES DE ROSARIO FCxCS BARRACAS
10GAMES51.30SCORED A GAME0.400.60CONCEDED A GAME0.601.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.070%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%50%BOTH SCORE40%5.3CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–6.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Leones de Rosario FC have scored in 80% of their games.
CS Barracas have scored in 40% of their games.
Leones de Rosario FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
CS Barracas kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards